Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
NOB
0 - 2
BOC
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
BOC
4 - 0
SLO
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
CAU
2 - 0
BOC
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 1
SAR
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1981 |
PLA
0 - 4
BOC
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
IND
1 - 0
TAL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
RAC
0 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
IND
1 - 1
CEN
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1981 |
FER
0 - 0
IND
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
IND
1 - 0
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |