Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
COL
1 - 0
BOC
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
2 - 2
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 0
PEÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
IND
3 - 2
SLO
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
CEN
4 - 2
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |