Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1979 |
ALB
1 - 0
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1979 |
EST
1 - 3
IND
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1979 |
IND
2 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |