Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
1 - 3
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 3
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOC
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 0
RIV
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
4 - 0
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
VEL
1 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
IND
4 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
IND
3 - 0
ARG
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
SLO
0 - 1
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |