Boca Juniors vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
HUR
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 2
BOC
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
EST
3 - 4
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
0 - 2
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
1 - 3
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1966 |
GUA
0 - 2
IND
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 3
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 3
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |