Boca Juniors vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 4
CAU
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 0
BAN
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 1
BOC
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 1
QUI
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
GAF
44%
31%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 1
CCS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 0
GAF
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 0
BUC
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 1
GAF
69%
21%
11%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +2 |