Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 1
COL
66%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 4
BOC
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 2
RAC
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 2
BOC
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 1
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
LEV
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
DYJ
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 2
EST
31%
29%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
TAL
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |