Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 5
BOC
28%
27%
46%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 1
DYJ
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
5 - 0
ZAM
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
BOC
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
BAN
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
LIB
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
EST
30%
30%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
EST
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
SLO
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |