Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SLO
1 - 7
BOC
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BOC
1 - 0
IND
61%
21%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 2
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
BOC
3 - 0
BAN
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
BOC
2 - 0
OLI
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
EST
1 - 2
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
COL
0 - 2
EST
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
GIM
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
QUI
0 - 1
EST
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |