Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 1
BOC
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
BOC
3 - 0
CAU
72%
17%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
BOC
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
BOC
1 - 0
NOB
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
OLI
1 - 0
BOC
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
EST
0 - 1
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 0
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
EST
4 - 1
SLO
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 0
EST
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |