Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CAU
2 - 2
BOC
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 1
RAC
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 1
HUR
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
TAL
1 - 0
BOC
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 2
UCO
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
EST
0 - 2
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
EST
2 - 3
RAC
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
CAU
2 - 2
EST
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
EST
2 - 0
HUR
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
TAL
0 - 1
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |