Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
RAC
1 - 0
BOC
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1996 |
SIC
0 - 3
BOC
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1996 |
BEI
1 - 2
BOC
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1996 |
BOC
4 - 1
RIV
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
CEN
0 - 1
BOC
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
EST
2 - 2
NOB
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1996 |
LAN
1 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
EST
0 - 0
FER
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
PLA
2 - 2
EST
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
EST
5 - 2
HUR
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |