Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1981 |
ARG
2 - 2
BOC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1981 |
BOC
1 - 1
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1981 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1981 |
BOC
1 - 1
IND
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
NOB
0 - 2
BOC
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1981 |
EST
2 - 1
TAL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1981 |
RAC
0 - 1
EST
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1981 |
EST
2 - 1
CEN
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1981 |
FER
0 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |