Boca Juniors vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
STR
2 - 3
BOC
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
QUI
1 - 2
BOC
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
BOC
2 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
BOC
1 - 1
RIV
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
GLP
0 - 1
BOC
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
STR
2 - 2
QUI
56%
19%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
QUI
1 - 2
BOC
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
QUI
0 - 1
STR
55%
20%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |