Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Miranda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
NOB
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 3
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIR
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
0 - 3
RIV
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
3 - 1
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
2 - 2
UNI
43%
21%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |