Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 3
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 3
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 0
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
2 - 1
ALI
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIR
61%
18%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |