Boca Juniors vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
UCH
4 - 2
BOC
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
EST
2 - 1
BOC
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
BOC
4 - 6
RAC
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
BOC
0 - 0
CEN
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
ESP
3 - 3
NOB
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
LAN
3 - 2
ESP
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
ESP
0 - 1
FER
61%
25%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
PLA
1 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
ESP
0 - 4
HUR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |