Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-0
Boca Juniors vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
DYJ
2 - 2
BOC
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
IVT
0 - 0
BOC
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 1
ALM
66%
21%
12%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
BOC
37%
29%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
IVT
0 - 0
BOC
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
ORE
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
IVT
2 - 1
LFC
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
IVT
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |