Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-1
Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
BAN
0 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 1
VEL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 2
SLO
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1977 |
CRZ
2 - 1
POR
79%
13%
8%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1977 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SCI
54%
25%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1977 |
POR
0 - 4
CRZ
16%
26%
59%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
SCI
0 - 1
CRZ
55%
26%
19%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1976 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BYM
54%
21%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |