Boca Juniors vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
GOD
2 - 2
BOC
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 1
CEN
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOC
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
BOC
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
LAN
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 0
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
ARS
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 0
COL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
SLO
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |