Boca Juniors vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BOC
3 - 3
VEL
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CEN
1 - 2
BOC
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 1
BOC
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BOC
0 - 0
GLP
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BOC
1 - 1
ACM
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
COB
3 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
COL
2 - 1
ACS
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CSL
0 - 1
COL
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
COL
0 - 4
UCH
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
COL
2 - 3
CAL
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |