Boca Juniors vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
BOC
4 - 2
RAC
37%
28%
36%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 0
BOC
36%
29%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 2
BEL
54%
27%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
60%
23%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
BOC
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
JAN
0 - 2
CEN
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
GIM
35%
26%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
5 - 0
CEN
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 1
SLP
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
CEN
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |