Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
BOC
1 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
SLM
0 - 2
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
BOC
3 - 0
SLO
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
INS
1 - 4
BOC
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
RIV
2 - 2
BOC
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
IND
3 - 1
VEL
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
VEL
0 - 1
HUR
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
VEL
4 - 1
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
GYT
0 - 0
VEL
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
VEL
3 - 0
RAC
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |