Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
RAC
0 - 2
BOC
48%
25%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1973 |
BOC
2 - 1
COL
63%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1973 |
BOC
6 - 1
NOB
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
ARG
0 - 0
BOC
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
VEL
4 - 1
SLO
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
GLP
5 - 1
VEL
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
VEL
3 - 0
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
IND
2 - 2
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
VEL
1 - 1
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |