Boca Juniors vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 0
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 1
EST
39%
26%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
BOC
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 2
OLI
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 0
BOC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 1
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
TIG
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 2
GOD
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
GLP
2 - 1
TIG
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 2
BAN
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |