Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
GOD
1 - 2
BOC
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
BOC
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
83%
12%
4%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
BOC
4 - 0
JWI
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ALD
1 - 1
BOC
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ALD
1 - 2
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 2
ALD
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 1
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 2
IND
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |