Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
BOC
3 - 0
GOD
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 2
BOC
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 0
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 0
VEL
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
RIV
37%
29%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
ATT
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 2
CEN
34%
28%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CEN
3 - 0
HUR
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
CEN
26%
30%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |