Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
4 - 1
GIM
78%
16%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 2
BOC
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
BOC
0 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 0
BOC
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
BOC
0 - 0
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 1
OLI
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
EST
1 - 1
CEN
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
CEN
3 - 0
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARG
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |