Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 2
SLO
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 1
COL
66%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 4
BOC
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 2
RAC
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
ALD
3 - 1
RIV
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 0
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 0
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
RIV
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |