Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 4
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 0
EME
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOC
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 2
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 0
TIG
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 3
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 3
FCB
4%
11%
84%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIV
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
HUR
2 - 2
RIV
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 2
NOB
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |