Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
OPE
0 - 1
BOC
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
LAN
1 - 2
BOC
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
BOC
1 - 0
HUR
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2001 |
BOC
1 - 0
COB
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 0
BOC
9%
19%
71%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
STR
4 - 1
RIV
25%
22%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
1 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SLO
1 - 3
RIV
39%
24%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
RIV
2 - 0
AND
88%
9%
4%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
TAL
3 - 1
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |