Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 1
BAN
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
VEL
2 - 2
BOC
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1976 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
BOC
1 - 0
HUR
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1976 |
BOC
2 - 1
BAN
67%
18%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
GLP
2 - 3
RIV
36%
26%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
RIV
6 - 2
TEM
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1976 |
RIV
4 - 1
HUR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1976 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
RIV
1 - 0
TAL
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |