Boca Juniors vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 2
BOC
30%
27%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BOC
1 - 1
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 3
BOC
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
CIE
3 - 0
BOC
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BOC
2 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LAP
3 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RPO
6 - 2
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |