Boca Juniors vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 2
BOC
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
BOC
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 4
BOC
33%
27%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BOC
4 - 1
GOD
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 0
TAL
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
ATL
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ATT
0 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 0
TIG
46%
28%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 2
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |