Boca Juniors vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 0
BOC
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 2
BOC
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 3
IVT
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
BOC
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DYJ
1 - 2
BEL
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
HUR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
BRO
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |