Boca Juniors vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 1
CAL
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RAC
2 - 1
BOC
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
COB
0 - 1
BOC
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 2
NOB
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 1
OPE
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 0
AND
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
TAL
0 - 1
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 0
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |