Boca Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
BOC
46%
27%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
CAU
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 1
BOC
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 0
RAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
RAF
3 - 6
RAC
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NOB
1 - 1
RAF
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 2
SMA
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATT
3 - 0
RAF
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 2
TEM
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |