Boca Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 1
MWA
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
TEM
0 - 2
BOC
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 2
BOC
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BOC
5 - 0
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 4
BAN
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 0
RAF
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 2
RAF
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 0
RAF
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 6
ARS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |