Boca Juniors vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 1
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
TAL
1 - 1
BOC
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
BOC
0 - 0
LAN
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 4
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
BOC
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
VEL
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
RAF
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RAF
4 - 0
GLP
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
RAF
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
COL
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |