Boca Juniors vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2019 |
BOC
3 - 1
GOD
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 0
CEN
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
GOD
1 - 2
BOC
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
BOC
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
83%
12%
4%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATP
31%
29%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
ATP
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
4 - 1
VAS
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
JWI
3 - 2
ATP
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
TCW
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |