Boca Juniors vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1978 |
BOC
1 - 1
CAU
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
ALB
0 - 0
BOC
29%
28%
43%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOC
72%
18%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
BOC
1 - 3
SLO
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CEN
0 - 1
BOC
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATM
38%
27%
36%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOC
72%
18%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 2
ATM
25%
28%
47%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
1 - 1
ATM
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
ATM
0 - 1
PAL
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |