Boca Juniors vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
3 - 1
SLO
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
BOC
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 0
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
BOC
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 1
SMA
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 5
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOB
2 - 1
ARS
39%
30%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 0
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SLO
0 - 0
ARS
39%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 4
RIV
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |