Boca Juniors vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
COL
3 - 0
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BOC
1 - 2
CEN
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
4 - 1
BOC
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BOC
2 - 0
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TIG
3 - 0
BOC
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
ARS
0 - 1
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
ARS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
1 - 0
SLO
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GLP
0 - 2
ARS
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 0
ARS
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |