Boca Juniors vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOC
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
EST
0 - 0
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
BOC
4 - 0
JUN
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 1
RIV
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
JUN
3 - 3
BOC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
OLI
55%
26%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
SLO
1 - 2
ARS
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 2
LAN
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 2
ARS
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 1
QUI
53%
27%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |