Boca Juniors vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
HUR
0 - 4
BOC
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 2
RIV
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 1
COB
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOC
24%
26%
51%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
ARS
0 - 0
BAN
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
CAU
0 - 3
ARS
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHI
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CEN
0 - 0
ARS
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ARS
0 - 0
IND
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |