Boca Juniors vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 0
CCP
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 3
UCO
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
GIM
0 - 0
BOC
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
4 - 3
CEN
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
PLA
1 - 0
BOC
39%
25%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
BOC
3 - 0
ARG
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
RAC
0 - 0
ARG
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
ARG
0 - 1
RAC
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
ARG
0 - 2
BOC
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
RIV
0 - 0
ARG
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |