Boca Juniors vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
NOB
2 - 1
BOC
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 1
RAC
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CHA
1 - 2
BOC
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 1
PLA
72%
17%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
QUI
1 - 0
BOC
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ARG
2 - 0
HUR
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
COL
3 - 2
ARG
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ARG
3 - 2
ALB
63%
21%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CEN
1 - 0
ARG
60%
21%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ARG
2 - 5
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |