Boca Juniors vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
BOC
37%
29%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
BOC
4 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 0
TAL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
CCS
2 - 4
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CAD
0 - 1
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
DEP
40%
30%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 0
STM
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 3
SMA
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |