Boca Juniors vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
BOC
5 - 2
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
BEL
1 - 3
BOC
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
BOC
1 - 1
RAC
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
BOC
1 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
NOB
1 - 3
BOC
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 1
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
SLO
2 - 0
ALM
87%
10%
4%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
ALM
2 - 2
AND
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2000 |
TAL
1 - 0
ALM
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 1
ALM
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |