Boca Juniors vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
HUR
3 - 3
BOC
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
GLP
2 - 2
BOC
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 0
CAU
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
BOC
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 3
PAL
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
ALI
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
SRP
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 2
JUN
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |